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Shifting left?

As they always say, the only poll that counts is election day, but polls are a useful barometer of how the public is feeling in a snapshot in time, and this one definitely is favoring Mulcair and the NDP:

The nationwide poll suggests the New Democratic Party would form a minority federal government if this were election day and a strong majority of Canadians believe the country suffers from an income gap, where the rich are getting too rich and the poor are getting too poor.  The NDP would capture 138 seats in the 308-seat parliament, up from the 103 they currently hold. The Conservatives, who won a majority government last election with 166 seats, would be reduced to 123 seats. The Liberals would take 42 seats, a poor showing but still considerably better than the 34 they took in the last election, the poll suggests.

The percentages are in a chart at the story at the National Post. It shows the NDP at 36%, the CPC at 32% and the Liberals at 20%. Again, this is one poll from 1 polling company, but it is similar in results  to other polls seen recently from different polling companies.  Harper and the Conservatives new policies they’ve rolled out since becoming a majority government appears to have given them a hit.

One interesting tidbit here in this poll on another issue:

45% of respondents said a low Canadian dollar that supports manufacturing was better for the country than a high dollar bolstered by resource exports, compared to 35% who disagreed. The issue was recently championed by Mr. Mulcair in his comment on Canada suffering “Dutch disease” — when a high currency value hurts blue-collar manufacturing jobs.

It would be interesting to see regional breakdown on that… that said, Mulcair seems to have currently gotten more people on his side over that statement then against – that we shouldn’t be reckless developing the tarsands at any cost – when it hurts both the manufacturing base and the environment in doing so.

Speaking from a Liberal point of view, there are some who would say we are hobbled by the fact that we have no permanent leader yet… but the fact our current interim leader, Mr Rae, is very well known should be a bit worrying, particularly when he’s perceived to be the front runner for the permanent job.  What will he do differently (or what will the LPC do differently) between what they’re doing now and if he were to get chosen to be the permanent leader?

(Don’t mistake that as my being against Rae winning the job – the campaign hasn’t even started for that yet and I want to see who out there runs – I’m just asking what I feel to be a legitimate question).



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