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What I’ll be watching for Election night (PPC – Rural ON/AB) #Elxn44

We’ve had a month of campaigning in the Federal Election 2021. I don’t need to recap everything that’s gone on, except to say it APPEARS (with large emphasis on that word) that the Conservatives seem to have stalled momentum with 3 days to go, and that the Liberals appear to have regained small leads or national ties that would likely ensure them a plurality of seats.

My interest on election night is going to be watching the People’s Party of Canada results – specifically in rural Ontario in the southwest. There has been large anti-lockdown/anti-mask sentiment/protests in these areas, opposition to vaccination mandates, and a vocal group of anti-vaxxers. They are not happy with either the Trudeau Liberals or the Doug Ford PC’s over these issues. There have been sizable rallies with the PPC in these areas as well. I am talking about ridings like Oxford, Haldimand-Norfolk, Elgin-Middlesex-London.

PPC strength is also said to be very high in rural Alberta – high teens according to some polls. This is another prime area for potential protest votes.

So my focus on election night is going to be if the PPC can get a sizable protest vote in these ridings (say – 10% or more). I am not sure if there would be enough of a protest vote to split the “conservative” vote and allow Liberal and/or NDP candidates to slip up the middle in any of these ridings, particularly Alberta. If there ARE large enough right-wing splits however, we could see a lot more Liberal seats then polls or seat projections are saying.


The blog awakens for Federal Election 2021

Hello folks:

Miss me? (Don’t answer that 😉 )

Seeing as we’re about to head into a Federal Election set for Sept 20, I thought it time to shake off the cobwebs off of this blog and revive it a tad. I won’t promise you posts every day, as I used to do back in the day when blogs were the social media “thing”…. but I will at least try to post a bit more on subjects that need a few more words or paragraphs then Twitter allows.

So… where to start? How about a non-partisan mention of how to make sure you’re registered to vote for the election?

I did this – it was very easy to use and I definitely will be checking out the vote by mail registration option when it becomes available.

Now then.. onto the election itself. You shouldn’t be surprised where my voting sympathies lie if you’ve read this blog over the years or continue to read my other social media posts. Those have not changed, despite my differences in opinion I’ve held with the Liberal government over a couple of their policy stances. So, I will merely present my observations on this election as it gets started:

– I’m not sure there will be much traction against the Liberals on whether the election is necessary or not for more then 2-3 days. Given the ineffectiveness of the current Conservative Party messaging on it so far, that only managed to draw unwanted attention, that would seem a pretty safe bet.

– COVID is going to be the main if not the issue of the campaign; people will get their chance to vote on whether they approved the Trudeau Liberal government’s overall handling of COVID (federal aid, vaccine rollout etc) or not. I will say that perhaps not everything went as smoothly or as fast on some of this as some would have wanted, but that overall, it looks as if a majority of people seem to give the Liberals good marks for how they handled things. The fact there are a few Conservative premiers out there that did not handle things the way they should/could have likely helps the perception of the Liberals by the voting public. The recent announcement by the government that all internal travellers by air and rail will need proof of vaccination to be able to travel, as well as all federal employees requiring proof of vaccination, will likely be a popular move as well. The government seem to be on the same side as public opinion regarding proof of vaccinations being required, and if anything, might be moving slower then what the public is demanding (though to be fair , many of the health measures that could be put in are provincial jurisdiction).

-The NDP and the BQ are the key parties to whether the Liberals gain a majority or not.


Renewing the domain for another year

So my renewal for this domain came up. I thought long and hard for whether to bother renewing it… since its obvious to all that my blogposting on this has been much reduced since the advent of other social media platforms – notably for me Twitter, and because of the cost involved (This is also the case for many other blogs too, I might add – they are much reduced in activity if you go on and check who is active and who hasn’t been).

I decided to renew for another year; who knows when a political activity might cause an uptick in blogposting. Detailed diatribes thoughts can’t be captured on Twitter – except for long extended threads, and I have been a bit more reluctant to post political stuff on Facebook for some reason.

So for now.. I’ll keep this place active.. though I can’t promise you how often I will post. As always though, I do have a link on the side panel to my Twitter feed.. so you can always check out any random thought I have there if you visit here and see nothing new.

I hope you are all still staying strong and keeping well during this pandemic.

PS – I should likely qualify due to the date of this posting this is NOT an April Fools Day joke post 😉


RIP Senator

It was always neat to have a sitting Senator show up at our Progressive Bloggers meetings/get-togethers — not just as a politician glad-handing us looking for photo-ops.. but as an actual Progressive blogger herself. For many years, Senator McCoy wrote on her own personal blog called “Hullabaloos”. It was pretty cool the day I got an application from her in my email asking if she could become a blog affiliate and have her blogposts aggregated to the Prog Blog site.

She attended some of those early get togethers when she was available, and she was well regarded, I think, by all the Progressive Blogging community – despite our wide range of views on that side of the political spectrum.

She will be missed.


5 Days Until The Strangest Christmas Ever

With cases continuing to rise, and the spectre of an apparent Ontario province wide lockdown coming on Christmas Eve, widespread availability of these Covid-19 vaccines can’t get here soon enough.


Sanity has returned to the US (hopefully).

As of this writing, Donald Trump has not conceded the US Presidential race, but that doesn’t matter. Joe Biden is the President-elect and Trump’s court cases that have charged voter fraud have so far all failed. On Jan 20, Joe Biden will be sworn in.

He will have many challenges ahead of him, but his biggest issue (and the issue he says he will get to work on immediately) is trying to get the Covid-19 pandemic under control. It will not be easy, as numbers are spiralling out of control and the current occupant of the White House will likely do even less to address the pandemic (if that’s possible).

Hopefully, with election season behind the US (with 2 notable exceptions in Georgia that will decide control of the US Senate) , some of the Republican governors who have been resisting mask mandates and “stay in place’ orders might change their tune and take measures based on public health, not politics.

Beyond Covid-19, look for a more calm and boring administration. This will not be a bad thing.


Trump’s Covid-19 positive test – the ultimate October Surprise.. the ultimate Karma

News that US President Donald Trump, First Lady Melania Trump and other high level Republican officials have tested positive for Covid-19 – and others awaiting test results after potential exposure to the above – has added another dimension of disarray to what was already one of (if not the most) chaotic US Presidential campaigns in history.

The effect of this on the US Election will of course be unknown until the severity and length of Trump’s illness plays out. It will be pointed out by many however that considering how cavalier Trump has been towards Covid-19, initially proclaiming it was nothing to worry about, to mocking Democratic nominee for President Joe Biden for wearing a mask, to continuing to expose other people to Covid-19 infection despite the White House knowing there was a problem, Trump has just had a big case of karma hit him.

I wish no harm to anyone, but I have a lot of trouble feeling sympathy for the President or those in his administration or those of his family or supporters who didn’t take this disease seriously.

One would hope that the President’s diagnosis might “wake” him and his supporters up to the seriousness of the situation and start treating health experts recommendations on fighting this disease a lot more seriously, but I have my doubts.


An Assessment of Erin O’Toole’s selection as Conservative Leader

In a leadership convention that will be known as much for its counting machines shredding ballot votes and the long delay in announcing results, as it will for the picking of a new leader, the Conservative Party’s members finally picked someone to replace the inept Andrew Scheer.

(Scheer didn’t go out in a blaze of glory either, but someone who appears very bitter he lost the 2019 election, and also exposed himself as the right wing ideologue most Canadians suspected he was/is)

The winner, in a bit of a surprise, is veteran MP Erin O’Toole. He did very well in Quebec in first round voting and captured the social conservative votes of Leslyn Lewis and Derek Sloan to beat back Peter MacKay in Round 3.

Did Conservative Party members make a smart choice? That remains to be seen. My sense is most Liberals viewed Peter MacKay as the most dangerous foe to them electorally, but the social conservative wing (which O’Toole courted and helped propel him to victory) has shown it is in control of the CPC party, and this wing is out of step with mainstream Canadian views on most issues (They also don’t physically distance very well either).

As for the Liberals, their biggest foe is themselves. They need to stop shooting themselves in the foot and creating issues for the opposition out of nowhere. One hopes that Chrystia Freeland as Finance Minister will help in that regard.

I offer my congratulations to Erin O’Toole for winning, but he’ll pardon me if I don’t say “best of luck” to him. I’d be lying if I said so 😉


Blue Jays denied playing in Toronto. Right call.

These stats here should speak for themselves why it’s the right call.

I also would think twice if I were the Jays about playing in Dunedin Florida; a state with a pro-Trump Republican Governor and Covid-19 stats showing the result of that blind loyalty.

Oh.. and yes.. hi everyone. 🙂

Sorry about the extended absence, but I am still around, as you would notice from my Twitter feed over there on the right hand column.

I’ll try and be more engaging on here. I suspect as the US Elections approach, I’ll be more proactive in posting on my blog.


Evidence that a Trumpism strain is alive and well within the Conservative Party.

Witness this humdinger of an interview by Sarnia-Lampton MP and current Conservative Party leadership contender Marilyn Gladu. Apparently we should be following the lead of President Trump:

Sarnia-Lambton’s MP wants Canada to implement COVID-19 cures she says have been proven in the United States… “In the United States they’ve been successful with the treatment of hydroxychloroquine, azithromycin and zinc sulfate,” said Gladu. “They’ve tried this on thousands of COVID patients, with nearly 100 per cent recovery rate, and so the FDA has approved this as an emergency measure, but Canada has not.”

A 100% recovery rate?? How could that be true? Really Marilyn? Where in the world did you get THAT claim from? I’m not even sure Trump has claimed that.

The local Sarnia Chief of Staff immediately put that to rest:

Bluewater Health Chief of Staff Dr. Michel Haddad said there hasn’t been any evidence to show that hydroxychloroquine has been helpful in prevention or treatment of COVID-19 “There’s a lot of talk out there about different treatments,” said Haddad. “There’s no single agent that actually kills this virus. The Tamiflu we use for influenza is non-effective. We have been using cocktails of antibiotics, without real evidence to be honest with you.” Haddad said he’s seen patients die and survive after using hydroxychloroquine.

I had hoped our Conservatives would be resisting the incompetence and ignorance coming out of Donald Trump’s mouth, but between this and Andrew Scheer stating in his press conference he wasn’t sure we should be following the advice of the World Health Organization, It appears that hope might be in vain.

If they think they’re going to get Canadians support by being a parrot of Donald Trump, they’re going to have a nasty reality check.

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